Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.000882 0.000927 0.000973 0.001023 0.001076 0.001131 0.001193
2025-08-10 0.000802 0.000866 0.000933 0.001010 0.001095 0.001186 0.001292
2025-08-17 0.000734 0.000809 0.000891 0.000987 0.001095 0.001216 0.001361
2025-08-24 0.000686 0.000770 0.000862 0.000973 0.001102 0.001250 0.001432
2025-08-31 0.000654 0.000745 0.000848 0.000973 0.001122 0.001297 0.001517
2025-09-07 0.000622 0.000717 0.000827 0.000963 0.001128 0.001326 0.001581
2025-09-14 0.000595 0.000694 0.000810 0.000956 0.001137 0.001357 0.001647
2025-09-21 0.000570 0.000672 0.000793 0.000947 0.001141 0.001381 0.001704
2025-09-28 0.000547 0.000650 0.000774 0.000935 0.001141 0.001399 0.001753
2025-10-05 0.000520 0.000624 0.000749 0.000913 0.001125 0.001396 0.001773
2025-10-12 0.000503 0.000608 0.000736 0.000906 0.001129 0.001417 0.001826
2025-10-19 0.000488 0.000594 0.000725 0.000901 0.001135 0.001441 0.001883
2025-10-26 0.000477 0.000586 0.000723 0.000908 0.001159 0.001492 0.001982
2025-11-02 0.000463 0.000573 0.000713 0.000905 0.001168 0.001524 0.002057
2025-11-09 0.000443 0.000553 0.000693 0.000887 0.001157 0.001527 0.002090
2025-11-16 0.000428 0.000537 0.000678 0.000877 0.001155 0.001542 0.002140
2025-11-23 0.000417 0.000528 0.000672 0.000877 0.001167 0.001578 0.002224
2025-11-30 0.000405 0.000515 0.000660 0.000868 0.001167 0.001594 0.002278
2025-12-07 0.000393 0.000504 0.000650 0.000862 0.001170 0.001616 0.002341
2025-12-14 0.000382 0.000493 0.000639 0.000854 0.001170 0.001632 0.002396
2025-12-21 0.000371 0.000480 0.000627 0.000844 0.001165 0.001642 0.002440
2025-12-28 0.000357 0.000464 0.000609 0.000824 0.001146 0.001628 0.002445
2026-01-04 0.000348 0.000455 0.000600 0.000818 0.001147 0.001645 0.002501